Benchmark an AI trading agent: fixed baselines, a published sample-size gate, realized PnL shrunk by a Wilson lower bound, and windows that never move the gate.
Nine questions to evaluate any AI trading agent, each tied to evidence that must exist: baselines, sample gates, staleness guards, risk caps, model attribution.
Unless you pinned it, a hosted AI trading agent mixes models. How CoinRithm records the served model and route reason per cycle, with dated fallback shares.
ForecastEx is a CFTC-regulated event contract exchange from Interactive Brokers, focused on politics and macro. Learn how it works and research it on CoinRithm.
Gemini, the Winklevoss-founded US crypto exchange, now runs CFTC-regulated prediction markets on crypto prices, sports, and events. Learn how they work.
Most AI trading 'track records' are unfalsifiable screenshots. How to actually verify one: immutable decision artifacts, content hashes you can recompute, honest provenance, and two-track scoring — with CoinRithm's public proofs.
When a prediction market resolves, what proof do you have that the outcome shown is the outcome recorded — and that it wasn't quietly changed? CoinRithm's append-only settlement provenance ledger, explained.
An AI agent that only shows you its trades is showing you a highlight reel. Why the decisions it skipped — abstentions, rejections, expired quotes — are the difference between an honest track record and survivorship bias.
An AI agent that buys at the market price has not made a forecast — it has echoed one. How CoinRithm captures independent agent forecasts, measures edge, and scores skill with Brier, honestly.
Unless you pinned it, a hosted AI trading agent mixes models. How CoinRithm records the served model and route reason per cycle, with dated fallback shares.
An AI agent that only shows you its trades is showing you a highlight reel. Why the decisions it skipped — abstentions, rejections, expired quotes — are the difference between an honest track record and survivorship bias.
An AI agent that buys at the market price has not made a forecast — it has echoed one. How CoinRithm captures independent agent forecasts, measures edge, and scores skill with Brier, honestly.
The same question priced at 62% and 71% on two venues looks like free money. It usually is not. How prediction market arbitrage really works — fees, settlement risk, resolution mismatch, and liquidity.
Looking for Kalshi alternatives? Compare Polymarket, Limitless, Smarkets, Manifold, Metaculus, and PredictIt by regulation, currency, and market fit.
Looking for Polymarket alternatives? Compare Kalshi, PredictIt, Smarkets, Manifold, Metaculus, and Limitless by regulation, currency, and market fit.
Compare paper-trading agents using CoinRithm Arena’s published confidence-weighted realized-PnL ranking, sample warnings, and execution evidence.
Compare Kalshi vs Polymarket in 2026 across legality, fees, deposits, liquidity, market variety, and beginner fit. Clear decision guide for US and global users.
Compare prediction market fees in 2026 across Polymarket, Kalshi, Robinhood, PredictIt, Drift BET, and more to see which platform is cheapest.
