ANALYSIS
CoinRithm House Agents: Weekly Paper-Trading Results, 7 October 2026
All five CoinRithm house agents, one fixed seven-day window: realized paper results, fees, pending positions and the limits of the evidence.
6 min read
Author profile
CoinRithm Editorial
Human + AI editorial content
CoinRithm Editorial is the organisational byline for CoinRithm’s educational guides and market explainers. Content is created by humans with AI assistance, using market data aggregated by CoinRithm and cited sources. CoinRithm is responsible for the published content.
Published articles
82
Latest article
October 7, 2026
Blog
CoinRithm Editorial identifies the organisation responsible for this content. Its profile lists the published guides and explains how human input, AI assistance and aggregated data are used. Individually credited contributions keep their own bylines.
GUIDE
How to Configure an AI Trading Agent: Markets, Signals, Timeframes and Limits
Set market boundaries, signal thresholds, chart timeframe, caps and model in Agent Studio, then judge each change by its version history, not one lucky trade.
13 min read
GUIDE
How to Test AI Trading Agent Settings: What Changed in 120 Recorded Snapshots
Replay 120 recorded snapshots without models to compare signal filters and call rules. Learn why fewer triggers do not prove better trades or lower live costs.
6 min read
EDUCATION
Kalshi Restricted Countries (September 2026): Full List of 55 and Where Kalshi Is Available
Kalshi restricted countries, updated September 2026: all 55 on the list, from the UK and Canada to India, plus where Kalshi works and US state limits.
13 min read
GUIDE
How to Benchmark an AI Trading Agent (and What a Public Leaderboard Can and Cannot Prove)
Benchmark an AI trading agent: fixed baselines, a published sample-size gate, realized PnL shrunk by a Wilson lower bound, and windows that never move the gate.
13 min read
GUIDE
How to Evaluate an AI Trading Agent: An Evidence-First Handbook
Nine questions to evaluate any AI trading agent, each tied to evidence that must exist: baselines, sample gates, staleness guards, risk caps, model attribution.
14 min read
ANALYSIS
Which Model Did Your AI Trading Agent Actually Use? Routing, Fallbacks and Pinning, Cycle by Cycle
Unless you pinned it, a hosted AI trading agent mixes models. How CoinRithm records the served model and route reason per cycle, with dated fallback shares.
13 min read
EDUCATION
What Is ForecastEx? The Interactive Brokers Prediction Market Exchange
ForecastEx is a CFTC-regulated event contract exchange from Interactive Brokers, focused on politics and macro. Learn how it works and research it on CoinRithm.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Gemini? The Crypto Exchange Running CFTC-Regulated Prediction Markets
Gemini, the Winklevoss-founded US crypto exchange, now runs CFTC-regulated prediction markets on crypto prices, sports, and events. Learn how they work.
11 min read
GUIDE
How to Verify an AI Agent's Track Record (And Why Most Can't Be Verified)
Most AI trading 'track records' are unfalsifiable screenshots. How to actually verify one: immutable decision artifacts, content hashes you can recompute, honest provenance, and two-track scoring — with CoinRithm's public proofs.
13 min read
EDUCATION
Prediction Market Settlement Provenance: A Verifiable Record of Every Resolution
When a prediction market resolves, what proof do you have that the outcome shown is the outcome recorded — and that it wasn't quietly changed? CoinRithm's append-only settlement provenance ledger, explained.
11 min read
ANALYSIS
Why an AI Agent's Abstentions Matter as Much as Its Trades
An AI agent that only shows you its trades is showing you a highlight reel. Why the decisions it skipped — abstentions, rejections, expired quotes — are the difference between an honest track record and survivorship bias.
11 min read
ANALYSIS
Scoring AI Agent Forecasts: Why Buying at the Market Price Is Not a Prediction
How CoinRithm records agent-reported probabilities, compares them with market baselines and explains the limits of market-aware forecast scores.
12 min read
EDUCATION
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Calibration, Brier Scores, and What the Data Shows
Prediction market accuracy is measurable, not a slogan. How calibration, Brier scores, and reliability bins actually score a venue — and how CoinRithm computes them across Polymarket, Kalshi, and every real-money market.
12 min read
ANALYSIS
Prediction Market Arbitrage: Why Cross-Venue Gaps Are Not Free Money
The same question priced at 62% and 71% on two venues looks like free money. It usually is not. How prediction market arbitrage really works — fees, settlement risk, resolution mismatch, and liquidity.
11 min read
EDUCATION
Prediction Market Data Quality: How CoinRithm Grades Every Market Before You Trust It
Not every prediction market price deserves your trust. How CoinRithm scores quality, flags thin, ambiguous, or near-resolution markets, and keeps blocked markets visible instead of hiding them.
11 min read
EDUCATION
Prediction Market Liquidity and Spreads: How to Read Market Depth Before You Trust a Price
Liquidity, spread, and order-book depth decide whether a prediction market price is real. Order books versus AMMs, why thin markets lie, and how to read microstructure across Polymarket, Kalshi, and more.
11 min read
GUIDE
Prediction Markets in Europe: Regulation, Access, and What Actually Applies
There is no single European prediction market law. How the EU, national gambling regulators, and MiCA actually apply, why venues geoblock, and how to check access in your country.
10 min read
EDUCATION
Prediction Markets vs Polls: Which One Should You Believe?
Polls measure opinion; prediction markets price probability. How they differ, when each is more reliable, why they disagree, and how to read both together for elections and beyond.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Futuur? The Prediction Market With Both Real-Money and Play-Money Books
Futuur is a prediction market that runs both a real-money book and a play-money book. Learn how it works, why the play-vs-real split changes how you read its odds, and how to research it on CoinRithm.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Myriad? The On-Chain, AMM-Based Prediction Market Explained
Myriad is an on-chain prediction market that prices outcomes with an AMM and runs both stablecoin and play-money (PTS points) markets. Learn how it works and how to research it on CoinRithm.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Rothera? The Robinhood-Backed Prediction Market Exchange
Rothera is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange founded by Robinhood and Susquehanna, with heavy sports coverage. Learn how it works and research it on CoinRithm.
10 min read
EDUCATION
The CoinRithm Reference Probability: One Honest Number Across Prediction Markets
How CoinRithm computes one canonical probability per real-world question across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Smarkets, and PredictIt — a liquidity-capped weighted median, always shown with venue count and spread.
9 min read
EDUCATION
Are Prediction Markets Legal? A Country-by-Country Guide (2026)
Is Polymarket or Kalshi legal where you live? A country-by-country look at prediction market regulation in the US, UK, EU, Canada, Australia, and India for 2026.
14 min read
EDUCATION
Crypto Price Prediction Markets: Will Bitcoin Hit $X?
How crypto price prediction markets work across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless — price targets, range contracts, resolution feeds, and how to read the odds.
11 min read
TUTORIAL
Strategies for AI Trading Agents (That You Can Actually Test)
Six AI trading agent strategy archetypes for crypto and prediction markets — the hypothesis, the data, the agent rules, and the honest failure mode for each, evaluated in paper trading.
14 min read
EDUCATION
Pop Culture & Entertainment Prediction Markets (Box Office, Awards, Music)
How box office, Oscars, Grammy, and TV prediction markets work, why they quantify hype better than press coverage, and the thin-liquidity, longshot-bias caveats to know before reading them.
10 min read
EDUCATION
Fed & Economic Prediction Markets (Rates, CPI, Recession Odds)
How Fed rate, CPI, jobs, and recession prediction markets work on Kalshi and beyond — what they cover, why they resolve against official data, and how to read the odds.
11 min read
EDUCATION
How Election Prediction Markets Work (Odds, Accuracy, Where to Watch)
How election prediction markets price candidates and outcomes, how they compare to polls, where to trade (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Smarkets), and how to track live election odds.
12 min read
EDUCATION
How AI Agents Trade Prediction Markets
Why prediction markets are a natural fit for AI agents: probabilities as prices, hard resolution dates, and calibration as the real metric — plus how CoinRithm supports it in paper mUSD.
12 min read
EDUCATION
How Prediction Markets Settle and Resolve (Oracle, Rules, Timing)
How do prediction markets resolve? See how Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, and Smarkets determine outcomes, and how to read the rules before you trade.
13 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Deposit on Kalshi (2026): Methods, $10 Minimum, Fees and Times
How to deposit on Kalshi: $10 minimum ($1,000 by wire), debit card usually instant (up to 2%), free ACH, plus PayPal, Venmo, Cash App, crypto. Sept 2026.
19 min read
EDUCATION
Reading Whale Flow in Prediction Markets (Large Trades, Explained)
Learn what a prediction market whale trade actually is, what large prints signal (and do not), and how to read Polymarket and Kalshi whale flow without over-trusting it.
11 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Use Kalshi: A Beginner's Walkthrough (2026)
Learn how to use Kalshi step by step: sign up and verify your identity, fund with a bank account or debit card, find a market, place your first order, and withdraw.
9 min read
EDUCATION
Is Kalshi Legal? State-by-State Guide (2026)
Kalshi is CFTC-regulated federally, but several states dispute its sports contracts in court. Here is the federal-vs-state split explained, state by state.
11 min read
EDUCATION
Is Polymarket Legal in the US? CFTC Settlement, Polymarket US, and 2026 Access
Is Polymarket legal in the US in 2026? The 2022 CFTC settlement, the geoblocking era, the QCEX-powered Polymarket US relaunch, and what to verify first.
12 min read
ANALYSIS
Kalshi Alternatives: Sites Like Kalshi (2026)
Looking for Kalshi alternatives? Compare Polymarket, Limitless, Smarkets, Manifold, Metaculus, and PredictIt by regulation, currency, and market fit.
10 min read
ANALYSIS
Polymarket Alternatives: Sites Like Polymarket (2026)
Looking for Polymarket alternatives? Compare Kalshi, PredictIt, Smarkets, Manifold, Metaculus, and Limitless by regulation, currency, and market fit.
12 min read
TUTORIAL
Polymarket Fees Explained: Trading, Gas, and Withdrawal Costs (2026)
How Polymarket fees actually work in 2026: the new category-based taker fees, gas and relayer costs, bridging, spread, and what is genuinely free.
15 min read
TUTORIAL
The Free Cross-Venue Prediction Market Data API
A free, keyless JSON API for cross-venue prediction market data — Polymarket, Kalshi, and 5 more, one schema. Real endpoints, real responses, worked examples.
12 min read
EDUCATION
When Prediction Markets Disagree: Reading Probability Divergence
Why the same event trades at different probabilities on Polymarket, Kalshi, and other venues, when the gap is signal versus noise, and why textbook arbitrage rarely works for retail.
11 min read
EDUCATION
When Prediction Markets Get Disputed: Famous Resolution Controversies
Why prediction markets get disputed, how Polymarket UMA and Kalshi determination reviews actually work, and real controversies traders should know before holding a position through resolution.
11 min read
EDUCATION
Can You Trust Prediction Market Settlement? A Framework
Is Polymarket or Kalshi resolution reliable? A five-part settlement-trust framework — who decides, what evidence, contestability, track record, counterparty risk — for any prediction market.
10 min read
EDUCATION
Prediction Market Volume & Open Interest, Explained
What prediction market volume, open interest, and liquidity actually mean, why cross-venue volume numbers are rarely apples-to-apples, and where to find the live, methodology-disclosed figures.
10 min read
EDUCATION
Prediction Markets in the UK: Access, Legality, and Alternatives (2026)
Is Polymarket or Kalshi legal in the UK? How the Gambling Commission classifies prediction markets, what is restricted, and the licensed betting-exchange alternatives UK residents can actually use in 2026.
14 min read
EDUCATION
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: What's the Difference (and Is It Gambling)?
How prediction markets differ from a sportsbook — pricing, exit, and fees — and an honest answer to whether Polymarket and Kalshi trading is gambling.
10 min read
EDUCATION
Sports Prediction Markets Explained (How They Differ From Betting)
How sports prediction markets work on Kalshi and Polymarket, why they trade differently from a sportsbook, and what the "is this gambling" question actually means.
11 min read
TUTORIAL
Risk Caps and Guardrails for AI Trading Agents
How to engineer hard risk caps for an AI trading agent: position sizing, portfolio limits, loss controls, rate limits, sanity checks, and kill switches — enforced in code, not prompts.
9 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Agentic Trading? AI Agents That Trade, Explained
What agentic trading actually means: how an AI trading agent differs from a bot, the autonomy spectrum, the four parts every agent needs, and why paper trading is the honest way to test one.
13 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Withdraw from Kalshi (2026): No Fees, Card Payouts in Hours
How to withdraw from Kalshi: no fee by debit card, bank (ACH), PayPal, Venmo or crypto. Cards usually pay out within hours, banks in a few days. Sept 2026.
14 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Withdraw Money from Polymarket (2026): Time, Fees and Steps
How to withdraw money from Polymarket in 5 steps: no withdrawal fee, crypto in under a minute, bank cash-outs in business days. Updated September 2026.
16 min read
TUTORIAL
Kalshi Fees Explained (2026): Trading, Maker, and Withdrawal Costs
How Kalshi fees work: the trading fee formula, why 50/50 markets cost the most, maker vs taker, and which deposits and withdrawals are free.
7 min read
ANALYSIS
AI Crypto Trading Agents Compared (2026): ChatGPT vs Claude vs Open-Source Models on CoinRithm Arena
Compare paper-trading agents using CoinRithm Arena’s published confidence-weighted realized-PnL ranking, sample warnings, and execution evidence.
9 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Build Your Own Crypto Trading Agent (No Backend Required): MCP + API Key Walkthrough
Build a crypto trading agent with MCP and a CoinRithm API key — no backend. Wire ChatGPT Actions or Claude, set caps, dry-run, then go live on paper.
16 min read
GUIDE
How to Compare Prediction Markets Across Platforms (One Dashboard for Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & More)
Learn how to compare prediction markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless and more in one dashboard: probability divergence, fees, liquidity, and resolution rules.
12 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Kalshi? How It Works, Fees and Who Can Use It (2026)
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange for Yes/No event contracts ($0.01 to $0.99). Updated September 2026: fees, $10 deposits, 55 restricted countries.
22 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Limitless? The On-Chain Prediction Market for Crypto-Native Traders
Limitless is a crypto-native, on-chain prediction market with fast-resolving markets that settle in crypto. Learn how it works and how to research it on CoinRithm.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Manifold? The Play-Money Prediction Market Explained
Manifold is a free play-money prediction market where anyone can create markets and trade with virtual currency. Learn how it works and how CoinRithm aggregates its markets.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Metaculus? How the Forecasting Platform Works and Why It Matters
Learn what Metaculus is, how its reputational forecasting system works, how it differs from real-money prediction markets, and how CoinRithm aggregates its questions.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is PredictIt? A Plain Guide to How It Works, Its Limits, and Its Fees
Learn what PredictIt is, how it works under a CFTC no-action letter, its per-contract cap, fees, and how to research PredictIt markets on CoinRithm.
10 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Smarkets? How the UK Betting Exchange Works (2026 Guide)
Learn what Smarkets is, how its peer-to-peer back/lay exchange model works, what markets it covers, and how CoinRithm aggregates Smarkets odds for research.
10 min read
EDUCATION
Crypto Futures Paper Trading: Practice Leverage Without Risk (2026)
Learn crypto futures paper trading with leverage up to 20x, stop-loss and take-profit orders, and liquidation mechanics — all using mock USD with no real risk.
13 min read
EDUCATION
How to Let an AI Agent Paper Trade Crypto: Studio, MCP and API Setup
Set up a hosted paper-trading agent in Studio or connect your own MCP/API client. Review strategy limits, recorded decisions and simulated results.
14 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Bridge USDC to Polygon for Polymarket (2026): Beginner Guide
Learn how to bridge USDC to Polygon for Polymarket, when bridging is needed, and the safest beginner flow before you deposit.
9 min read
TUTORIAL
Polymarket Deposit Methods (2026): 15 Supported Chains, Minimums and Fees
Polymarket deposit methods, updated September 2026: send crypto from 15 chains like Polygon, Base or Solana, auto-converted to pUSD. Minimums from $2.
15 min read
EDUCATION
Are Prediction Markets Legal in the US? What Beginners Need to Know (2026)
Learn whether prediction markets are legal in the US in 2026, how CFTC oversight works, and why Kalshi and Polymarket are not the same legal story.
10 min read
EDUCATION
Common Prediction Market Mistakes (2026): What Beginners Get Wrong
Learn the most common prediction market mistakes beginners make, including rule-reading errors, overtrading, poor sizing, and probability mistakes.
9 min read
EDUCATION
How Gamification Can Improve Paper Trading Discipline (2026)
Learn how gamification can improve paper trading discipline without turning practice into a game. Guide to streaks, tasks, progress tracking, and better habits.
9 min read
EDUCATION
How Prediction Market Probabilities Work (2026): Prices, Odds, and What They Really Mean
Learn how prediction market probabilities work, how prices map to odds, how payouts work, and why high-probability markets can still lose.
9 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Fund Polymarket with USDC (2026): 6-Step Deposit Guide
How to fund Polymarket with USDC, updated September 2026: pick Transfer Crypto, choose Polygon, Base or Solana, send $2 or more, and it arrives as pUSD.
14 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Use a Crypto Watchlist Before You Trade (2026)
Learn how to use a crypto watchlist to track setups before you buy or trade. Beginner guide to watchlist workflow, added price tracking, and pre-trade filtering.
9 min read
TUTORIAL
How to Use Polymarket (2026): Step-by-Step Guide to Sign Up, Deposit, Trade, and Withdraw
How to use Polymarket step by step (updated September 2026): sign up, deposit crypto or card, trade Yes/No shares, and withdraw with no Polymarket fee.
18 min read
ANALYSIS
Kalshi vs Polymarket (2026): Fees, Legality, Liquidity, and Who Each Is Best For
Compare Kalshi vs Polymarket in 2026 across legality, fees, deposits, liquidity, market variety, and beginner fit. Clear decision guide for US and global users.
12 min read
EDUCATION
Polymarket Restricted Countries: Full List of 41 Countries and 7 Regions (September 2026)
Polymarket restricted countries (updated September 2026): all 41 countries and 7 regions, from the US and UK to Brazil, and where Polymarket is allowed.
14 min read
ANALYSIS
Prediction Market Fees Comparison (2026): Polymarket, Kalshi, Robinhood, PredictIt, and More
Compare prediction market fees in 2026 across Polymarket, Kalshi, Robinhood, PredictIt, Gemini, and more to see which platform is cheapest.
18 min read
EDUCATION
What Are Prediction Markets in Crypto? Complete Beginner Guide (2026)
Learn what prediction markets are in crypto, how they work, how prices map to probabilities, and where Polymarket and Kalshi fit in 2026.
14 min read
GUIDE
How to Track a Crypto Portfolio for Beginners: 6 Steps (2026)
How to track a crypto portfolio for beginners: list every account, log cost basis with fees, watch allocation and realized vs unrealized PnL (2026 guide).
21 min read
ANALYSIS
Best Prediction Markets in 2026: 17 Platforms Compared (Regulation, Fees, Access and Who Each Suits)
Kalshi, Polymarket and 15 more prediction market platforms compared for September 2026: regulation, fees, country access and who each one suits.
24 min read
EDUCATION
Elliott Wave Theory Explained (2026): How to Identify Market Trends and Trade Crypto Smarter
Learn Elliott Wave Theory step-by-step: the 5–3 wave cycle (impulse vs correction), the 3 core rules, Fibonacci zones, and how to apply wave counts to crypto charts. Updated February 2026.
16 min read
ANALYSIS
Fundamental vs Technical Analysis in Crypto: Complete Guide (2026)
Learn the difference between fundamental and technical analysis in crypto. Discover which approach suits your trading style with insights from Market Wizards traders.
12 min read
EDUCATION
What Is Polymarket? How It Works, Fees, Safety, and US Access (2026)
What is Polymarket? A prediction market where Yes/No shares cost 1¢ to 99¢ and pay $1 if right. How it works, fees, safety and US access (Sept 2026).
20 min read
GUIDE
How to Paper Trade Crypto: Step-by-Step Beginner Guide (2026)
Learn how to paper trade crypto with virtual funds, real market data, and a crypto trading simulator. Step-by-step beginner guide plus what paper trading can and cannot teach you.
15 min read