AI bubble burst by which date?
0.8 pt (24h)2mo
June 30, 2027+2.0pt23%December 31, 2026+0.8pt10%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$3.1M
24h Vol$2.5K
POLYMARKETETF
851 markets tracked all-time for ETF, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
50
Total Volume
$88,060,511
24h Volume
$5,688
Total Liquidity
$7,183,322
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Related News (6)
Grayscale expands in-kind subscriptions to 10 crypto ETFs and trustsThe Block
Switzerland Approves First Spot Bitcoin ETF as FINMA Clears BBIT for Retail InvestorsBlockchain Reporter
Ether ETF outflows continue, pass $1B in October so farCointelegraph
Swiss Regulator Approves First Retail Fund That Holds Bitcoin DirectlyDecrypt
Bitcoin ETFs Post Their Best Day in Nearly a Month as BlackRock Does All the BuyingDecrypt
FINMA clears Switzerland’s first spot Bitcoin ETF for retail investorsCrypto NewsJune 30, 2027+2.0pt23%December 31, 2026+0.8pt10%POLYMARKET
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
5.5 pt (24h)7d
↓ $150+5.5pt89%↑ $152+32.5pt83%↓ $148+5.0pt78%+89 more outcomes
Medium quality (55)Wide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$125.9K
24h Vol$2.2K
POLYMARKET
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by which date?
8.0 pt (24h)8mo
June 30, 202755%March 31, 2027+8.0pt39%December 31, 202620%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (53)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.8K
24h Vol$716.1
POLYMARKET
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
2.7 pt (24h)1y
No listing by December 31, 2027+2.7pt40.2%
Robinhood38.1%
Coinbase-0.2pt12.4%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (70)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$90.4K
24h Vol$200.4
POLYMARKETWhich bubble bursts first?
0.1 pt (24h)
Low quality (27)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.6K
24h Vol$3.8
MYRIAD
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by which date?
2.8 pt (24h)8mo
June 30, 2027+2.8pt86%March 31, 202769%December 31, 20267%+1 more outcomes
Low quality (43)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$9.3K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 26 2026?
6d
↓ $15091%↑ $15288%↓ $14988%+11 more outcomes
Low quality (34)Wide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$40
24h Vol$40
POLYMARKET
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 26 2026?
6d
↑ $15550%↑ $15450%↓ $15050%+11 more outcomes
Low quality (22)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol$7.8
24h Vol$7.8
LIMITLESS
Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
2d
Yes50%
No50%
Low quality (30)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
LIMITLESSEWY (EWY) Up or Down on October 26?
5.5 pt (24h)2d
Down+5.5pt59%Up-5.5pt42%Low quality (25)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Bitcoin ETF Flows on October 27?
3d
Positive50%Negative50%Related Cryptos
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Ethereum ETF Flows on October 27?
3d
Positive50%Negative50%Related Cryptos
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
POLYMARKETEthereum ETF Flows on October 26?
0.5 pt (24h)2d
Positive+0.5pt50%Negative-0.5pt50%Related Cryptos
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
POLYMARKETBitcoin ETF Flows on October 26?
2d
Positive50%Negative50%Related Cryptos
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
2mo
Yes6%
No94%
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Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
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Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?
2mo
Yes7.1%
No92.9%
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1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?
2mo
Yes16.5%
No83.5%
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13 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Average inflation-adjusted return of Vanguard Total World Stock ETF over the next 70 years (2025-2095)?
Less than 1.0%6.3%1.0% up to less than 1.5%6.3%1.5% up to less than 2.0%6.3%+13 more outcomes
Community forecast1 forecastersType: multiple choice
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast1 forecastersType: multiple choice
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Indian mutual funds' investment in silver ETFs exceed a 5% increase on December 31, 2027?
4mo
Yes50%
No50%
Community forecastType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Indian mutual funds' investment in silver ETFs exceed a 5% increase on March 2, 2028?
1y
Yes50%
No50%
Community forecastType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Indian mutual funds' investment in silver ETFs exceed a 7% increase on March 2, 2028?
1y
Yes50%
No50%
Community forecastType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SPUU outperform SSO from 2024 to the end of 2033?
7y
Yes31.3%
No68.7%
Community forecastType: binary
4 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich assets will outperform SPY over the next 5 years?
2mo
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast4 forecastersType: multiple choice
9 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS![When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FJamesBills%252Fcf452c192b2d.jpg&w=96&q=80){kind=small}
When will a spot Solana ETF be approved? [Mod Note: This should require both the 19b-4 and S-1 Filings]
2y
2025 Q422.5%2025 Q322.3%2028 H27.3%+10 more outcomes
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16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Gerd Kommer outperform JPMorgan over 10 years?
7y
Yes44.2%
No55.8%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
57 minutes agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill VT outperform VTI over the next 50 years?
Yes54.3%
No45.7%
Community forecast4 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Gerd Kommer outperform MSCI World over 10 years?
7y
Yes27.8%
No72.2%
Community forecast5 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill my SPXL position go to zero before 2040?
13y
Yes30.6%
No69.4%
Community forecast5 forecastersType: binary
9 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US Sovereign Wealth Fund Hold Bitcoin?
3mo
Yes61.7%
No38.3%
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2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?
2mo
Yes34.1%
No65.9%
Community forecast6 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSDaily distribution ETF by end of 2026?
2mo
Yes20%
No80%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSEU defense stocks vs South Korea defense stocks: EUAD ETF outperforms KDEF ETF in total return by end of 2029
3y
Yes44.4%
No55.6%
Community forecast6 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will ARKK, a speculative innovation ETF, outperform S&P500 over the next 5 years?
5mo
Yes19.1%
No80.9%
Community forecast11 forecastersType: binary
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill it ever be true that >50% of Americans own cryptocurrency?**
8y
+1 more outcomes
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9 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Vanguard bring a Bitcoin ETF to market before Jan 1 2030?
3y
Yes32.8%
No67.2%
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Community forecast104 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich ETF will go up the most?
7y
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast16 forecastersType: multiple choice
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill AVUV outperform VOO in 2026
2mo
Yes70.7%
No29.3%
Community forecast6 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?
1y
Yes42%
No58%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
4 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF - ARGT closes above US$100 at the end of 2027?
1y
Yes71.8%
No28.2%
Community forecast4 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will be the price of SPY ($) at the end of 2026 (0.1x)
2mo
Yes73.6%
No26.4%
Community forecast5 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
1y
Yes46.5%
No53.5%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSMCHI (iShares MSCI China ETF) will close above 59 on the latest trading day of 2026
2mo
Yes39%
No61%
Community forecast1 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the NTSD ETF be shut down?
1y
Yes28.4%
No71.6%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill LTPZ outperform SPY over the next 10 years?
9y
Yes43.1%
No56.9%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
3 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSThe SEC decision on novel ETFs
10mo
+1 more outcomes
Community forecast4 forecastersType: multiple choice
9 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the AI bubble pop by X date?
1y
+10 more outcomes
Community forecast78 forecastersType: multiple choice
11 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill BTC hit (low) till 2026
2mo
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15 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS