Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCrypto ETFs singled out with new restrictions 49.8%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleSep 2, 26, 6:26 PM UTCSep 2, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolve at the time of publication on sec.gov if earlier than the deadline (September 1st, 2027); "proposed rule" means a Commission release with that action line, not staff action.
- Fine prints:
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule lowers the existing leverage cap under Rule 18f-4, restricts or bans single-stock strategies, or imposes new investor-eligibility requirements specific to them.
- Current 18f-4 limits staying in place resolves NO.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule would lengthen the current 60/75-day automatic approval window for any ETFs, or let the SEC pause a launch on its own initiative.
- the named outcome YES if a proposed rule, or a Commission statement/interpretive release, specifically restricts or imposes extra conditions on ETFs whose principal strategy is holding crypto assets.
