Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 71.6%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 20, 26, 7:27 PM UTCMar 21, 28, 3:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
PolymarketAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketTokenized stocks available on Robinhood by which date?
PolymarketTokenized stocks available on Coinbase by which date?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Will the WisdomTree Efficient U.S. Plus International Equity Fund (NTSD) have forced liquidation anytime before March 20, 2028?
- At time of market creation this fund is one month old and has $5.3M in assets under management. 3/20/28 will be the first market day 2 years since the fund’s inception.
- Disclosure: I am an investor in NTSD.
- I made the first bet in this market to get it started, but I will not bet in it any more.
- (Forced liquidation of all shares for some other reason besides the ETF closing still resolves yes)