Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
CryptoOne-OffETFAIStablecoinTokenization / RWA1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53.5%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 11, 26, 4:25 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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MyriadRules
Tokenized investment products may eventually provide blockchain-native access to diversified public-market exposure.
- This question asks whether such products achieve institutional-scale assets.
- Resolution Criteria
- This question resolves YES if, on or before 2027-12-31, any tokenized basket, index, ETF-like, or diversified equity investment product exceeds $1 billion USD equivalent in assets under management (AUM).
- For resolution purposes:
- The product must provide diversified exposure to public equity.
Open markets
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- $10M+0.9pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $554.2K
- 24h Vol
- $500.1K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 more outcomes
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- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
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- No+2.0pt86%
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- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.5K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
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- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Tokenized investment products may eventually provide blockchain-native access to diversified public-market exposure.