Current community forecast
Yes 70.1%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 7, 24, 12:24 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes
Manifold MarketsWill Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketMichael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
KalshiRules
Demis Hassabis is a British AI researcher, entrepreneur, and CEO of Google DeepMind who recently won the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.
- Currently, his estimated net worth ranges from $523-653 million.
- If any reputable financial publication, wealth tracking platform, or news source reports Demis Hassabis's net worth at or above $3 billion USD at any point before December 31, 2027, this market resolves YES.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027? resolve?
- Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Demis Hassabis is a British AI researcher, entrepreneur, and CEO of Google DeepMind who recently won the 2024 Nobel Prize in Chemistry.