Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 8, 26, 1:48 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketBy when will Demis Hassabis leave Google?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if until Dec 31, 2027, Hassabis continuously spends the majority of his working time in roles at Alphabet or its subsidiaries (incl.
- Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs).
- Job titles don’t matter.
- Part-time advisory alongside outside ventures counts as NO.
- Resolves NO immediately if he leaves before then.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027? resolve?
- Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if until Dec 31, 2027, Hassabis continuously spends the majority of his working time in roles at Alphabet or its subsidiaries (incl.