Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
RegulationOne-OffTechAIBusiness & Corporate3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 95.5%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 1, 26, 3:02 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Sir Demis Hassabis remains officially employed by or holds an active formal role (such as Chairman, Chief Scientist, CEO, Board Member, or Senior Advisor) at Alphabet Inc., Google, Google DeepMind, Isomorphic Labs, or any other Alphabet subsidiary as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, if his formal employment or official affiliation has ended or his departure has taken effect on or before this date, the market will resolve to NO.
- Key details and edge cases:
- An announcement of an impending departure where his final day is scheduled to take place after December 31, 2026, will resolve to YES.
- If his departure has been officially announced and takes effect on or before December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
Open markets
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- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $253.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jul 1, 2027-11.0pt37%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-19.0pt35%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-20.0pt35%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T17.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria