Current community forecast
2055 or later (or never) 81.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Oct 7, 25, 1:18 AM UTCJan 2, 35, 12:50 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolves YES if a credible empirical argument can be made that at some point at least 50% of all Americans who are age 30-40 own cryptocurrency.
- IMPORTANT CLARIFICATIONS:
- This market only cares about Americans aged 30-40
- Resolves only to the earliest applicable option (the 'ever' in the title is clickbait)
- Judging resolution will be biased in favour of a YES resolution (and biased towards the earlier options)
- More Clarifications: