Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 65.9%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 26, 7:10 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Twice per year, I manually rebalance a single Vanguard Traditional IRA into a fixed target allocation across 5 index ETFs.
- My take is that this kind of personal, human-in-the-loop automation should be doable by the end of 2026 with a reasonable amount of effort.
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, I successfully automate this workflow using an AI-driven computer agent with human-in-the-loop approvals.
- I commit to:
- Attempting this in good faith
- Spending at least 6 hours and no more than 12 hours total on setup and experimentation.
