Current community forecast
By 12-31-2028 60%Leader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
75
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleOct 26, 25, 11:38 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 10:29 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Prediction Source Comparison
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Manifold Markets prices By 12-31-2028 at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the AI bubble pop by X date? resolve?
- Will the AI bubble pop by X date? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will the AI bubble pop by X date? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- Where else is Will the AI bubble pop by X date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.
