KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityclaude-opus-4-6-thinking 95%+16.0%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$28.9K
Liquidity
$63.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
95.0% / 96.0%
Spread
1.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 4:40 PMJul 27, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
claude-opus-4-6-thinking95%
Volume trend
$28.9kJul 207d of dataJul 26
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If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.