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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Which company has best AI model end of July?
Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

0.3% (24h)AIOne-OffTech1mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Anthropic
Anthropic 88%+7.0%
Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$29.6K

Liquidity

$337.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.4% / 0.7%

Spread

75.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jun 4, 26, 6:06 PMJul 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Anthropic88%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
  • If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
  • If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”).
  • This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.