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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?
Manifold Markets

Will SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?

CustomSpaceEquitiesCorporate Actions2y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Yes 32.4%
Forecasters

10

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
Jun 3, 26, 2:50 PMDec 31, 28, 5:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes32%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets

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SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

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SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?

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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$0
>$3.8T: 1.9%LimitlessLIMITLESS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX IPO day's closing market cap

$1.4K
<$750B: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

$169.5
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets