Current community forecast
No 70%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleJun 10, 26, 1:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Manifold MarketsHow high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in 2026?
KalshiShanghai's SSE Composite Index to go up over 2026?
FutuurWill SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Equities
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No61.1%
- Yes38.9%
- Total Vol
- $254.7K
- 24h Vol
- $251.7K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-7.0pt75.8%
- Apple+3.2pt16.8%
- Alphabet6.3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.1M
- 24h Vol
- $134K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,000 or above99%
- 28,740 or above98%
- 28,920 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $127.8K
- 24h Vol
- $127.8K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,545 or above99%
- 7,525 or above99%
- 7,540 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $129.1K
- 24h Vol
- $126.3K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- 7,570 or above99%
- 7,555 or above99%
- 7,520 or above99%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.6K
- 24h Vol
- $96.8K
POLYMARKETSPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- Down+35.5pt99%
- Up-35.5pt1%
- Total Vol
- $82.1K
- 24h Vol
- $82.1K
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026? resolve?
- Will SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.