Economia

25 bps increase

52.5%

No change

-1.0pt47.5%

50+ bps decrease

0%

+2 altri esiti

Above 3.1%

+2.0pt99%

Above 2.9%

99%

Above 2.5%

99%

+23 altri esiti

Above 0.1%

99%

Above -0.4%

+1.0pt99%

Above -0.3%

99%

+12 altri esiti

Above 0.0%

99%

Above 0.1%

+3.0pt87%

Above 0.2%

-4.0pt32%

+8 altri esiti

Above -0.3%

+1.0pt98%

Above -0.4%

97%

Above -0.2%

+1.0pt96%

+8 altri esiti

Above 0.0%

96%

Above 1.0%

+3.0pt88%

Above 0.5%

86%

+6 altri esiti

Soft landing

57.8%

Overheating

-1.2pt34.3%

Stagflation

5.9%

+1 altri esiti

Above 447,500 jobs

-1.0pt96%

Above 450,000 jobs

-1.0pt94%

Above 452,500 jobs

84%

+4 altri esiti

Above -25,000

94%

Above 0

85%

Above 10,000

82%

+10 altri esiti

Above 3.7%

-1.0pt95%

Above 3.9%

+4.0pt94%

Above 3.8%

93%

+11 altri esiti

4.3-4.6%

+6.5pt54.2%

4.6-4.9%

-9.0pt26%

4.0-4.3%

-0.4pt18.8%

+6 altri esiti

Above -9.0% of GDP

98%

Above -8.5% of GDP

-1.0pt96%

Above -8.0% of GDP

-15.0pt71%

+4 altri esiti

Above 3.0%

96%

Above 3.1%

86%

Above 3.2%

77%

+18 altri esiti

Exactly 4.1%

-1.0pt30%

Exactly 4.2%

-1.0pt27%

Exactly 4.0%

13%

+20 altri esiti

0.8-1.1%

+6.0pt55.9%

1.2-1.5%

+1.9pt25.5%

0.4-0.7%

-0.5pt14.7%

+4 altri esiti

Above 2.1%

97%

Above 2.2%

+2.0pt95%

Above 2.3%

63%

+12 altri esiti

≥3.0%

+4.5pt35.5%

2.0–2.5%

23.6%

2.5–3.0%

-1.0pt20.9%

+4 altri esiti

1.0-1.2%

49.5%

0.7-0.9%

-4.5pt16.8%

1.3%+

+0.5pt16.8%

+3 altri esiti

Above 600

98%

Above 550

95%

Above 650

92%

+10 altri esiti

Above 2.6%

88%

Above 2.8%

+21.0pt80%

Above 2.7%

-10.0pt61%

+6 altri esiti

5.0%

10%

6.0%

7%

5.5%

-1.3pt6%

+2 altri esiti

4.1%

-2.0pt28.7%

4.2%

+1.0pt26.1%

4.0%

+0.5pt17.4%

+6 altri esiti

50k to 100k

+2.5pt27.4%

0 to 50k

+1.5pt26.5%

100k to 150k

11.8%

+4 altri esiti

2.0–2.5%

44.3%

1.5–2.0%

+0.5pt42.5%

>2.5%

+2.6pt7.5%

+3 altri esiti

0-1.0%

-2.4pt50%

1.0-2.0%

+0.5pt49%

4.0-5.0%

+0.1pt1%

+6 altri esiti

Above 4.7%

99%

Above 4.8%

99%

Above 4.9%

99%

+8 altri esiti

0.2–0.3%

39.6%

0.4–0.5%

-0.5pt24.5%

0.0–0.1%

+5.5pt21.7%

+4 altri esiti

Above 5.2%

78%

Above 5.3%

48%

Above 5.4%

17%

+7 altri esiti

Above -6.0% of GDP

97%

Above -5.0% of GDP

-4.0pt31%

Above -4.5% of GDP

7%

+4 altri esiti

Above -5.0% of GDP

97%

Above -4.5% of GDP

94%

Above -4.0% of GDP

-24.0pt50%

+4 altri esiti

Above 4.0%

98%

Above 4.2%

89%

Above 4.3%

88%

+7 altri esiti

Above 4.5%

16%

Above 4.8%

7%

Above 5.5%

5%

+11 altri esiti

1.6% to 2.0%

35.4%

2.1% to 2.5%

-4.9pt26.3%

1.1% to 1.5%

17.2%

+11 altri esiti

4.0–5.0%

90.9%

5.0–6.0%

-0.2pt6.1%

3.0–4.0%

-0.1pt1%

+7 altri esiti

Q2 2025

3%

Q4 2024

1%

Q3 2025

1%

+3 altri esiti

Above 5.5%

52%

Above 3.0%

0%

Above 3.5%

0%

+12 altri esiti

Shutdown & Democratic

+0.1pt86%

Shutdown & Republican

+0.4pt14%

No Shutdown & Democratic

-1.8pt0%

+1 altri esiti