KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Exactly 4.2% 20%In testa tra 23 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
2,6K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
15 dic 25, 15:00 UTC6 nov 26, 13:29 UTC
Trend
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0%
0%
0%
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Unemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
KalshiFed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExSeptember Unemployment Rate
PolymarketRegole
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.4% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.6% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.7% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.8% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt64%
- No change-10.0pt35%
- 50+ bps increase+0.4pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 96,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 656,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 85,1K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 386K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,6K €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-10.0pt80%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-20.0pt60%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-6.0pt30%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29,4K €
KALSHIState of the economy at the end of 2026
- Soft landing-5.7pt50.5%
- Overheating+11.8pt44.8%
- Stagflation-2.6pt2.9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- US government budget balance in 2026
- US real GDP growth in 2034?
- China unemployment rate in August
- GDP growth in 2026
- Recession this year?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi quota Exactly 4.2% al 20% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Unemployment rate is exactly 3.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Unemployment rate in Oct 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.