KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale2.1% to 2.5% 24%In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualita del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
0,6 €
Liquidità
157,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
23.9% / 26.0%
Spread
8.8%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
14 gen 26, 15:0028 feb 27, 13:29
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
2.1% to 2.5%24%
Trend del volume
$0.632 lug24g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
US real GDP growth in 2029?
3,5 €1.6% to 2.0%: 14%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2027?
1,8 €1.1% to 1.5%: 12%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2028?
0 €0.0% or Below: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9K €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5K €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,5 €Sì: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.