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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Economia
  3. US real GDP growth in 2030?
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

3.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-Off4a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
2.6% to 3.0%
2.6% to 3.0% 11%+3.0%
In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

134,1 €

Liquidità

95 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

8 giu 26, 21:3028 feb 31, 13:29

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

2.6% to 3.0%11%

Regole

If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030.
  • The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031.
  • Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
  • All stated bounds are inclusive.
  • For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%

Mercati Correlati

US real GDP growth in 2027?

US real GDP growth in 2027?

9,6 €
1.6% to 2.0%: 10%KalshiKALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2028?

US real GDP growth in 2028?

5 €
2.1% to 2.5%: 16%KalshiKALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2029?

US real GDP growth in 2029?

3,3 €
5.1% to 5.5%: 6%KalshiKALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

2,7K €
Sì: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Sì: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%CardanoADA$0.1658+1.94%HyperliquidHYPE$54.97-2.35%LitecoinLTC$42.73+0.02%

Regole

If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030.
  • The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031.
  • Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
  • All stated bounds are inclusive.
  • For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.