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CoinRithm

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Bees-x Limited
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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Economia
  3. 2026: Trump's bad year?
2026: Trump's bad year?

2026: Trump's bad year?

1.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-OffUS Politics1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 14%-1.0%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

8,8 €

Liquidità

642,4 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

14.0% / 16.0%

Spread

14.3%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 minuti fa

17 dic 25, 15:0031 dic 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes14%

Regole

If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring **ALL** specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:
  • - "Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35%" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - "Will Democrats win control of the House of Representatives?" uses CONTROL - "Will the U.S. enter a recession?" uses NBERRECSS - "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) be at least 5%?" uses ECONSTAT
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).

Mercati Correlati

Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

87 €
2028: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?

2026: Trump's dream year?

5,2 €
Sì: 9%KalshiKALSHI
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

2,5 €
Sì: 37%KalshiKALSHI
Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

1,9 €
Sì: 51%KalshiKALSHI
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

0 €
Sì: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

5,1 €
<-2.4%: 46%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,596.00+2.35%EthereumETH$1,650.95+1.71%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.40%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.71%XRPXRP$1.12+0.19%BNBBNB$594.27+1.58%

Notizie Correlate

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsCongress wants to ban lawmakers from crypto prediction marketsCrypto News

Regole

If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring **ALL** specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:
  • - "Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35%" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - "Will Democrats win control of the House of Representatives?" uses CONTROL - "Will the U.S. enter a recession?" uses NBERRECSS - "Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) be at least 5%?" uses ECONSTAT
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).