2026: Trump's dream year?

0.3 pt (24h)EconomiaOne-OffUS Politics Politica1a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

No 92%

Qualita del mercato

69 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

50,1 €

Liquidità

156,8K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

4.8% / 7.4%

Spread

2.6 pt

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 minuti fa

17 dic 25, 15:0031 dic 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes8%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
then the market resolves to Yes.

Trend del volume

$57

2 lug27g di dati28 lug

Mercati Correlati

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

1,6K €

Sì: 43%

KALSHI

If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?

49 €

0-1%: 4.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

7,6 €

Shutdown & Democratic: 86%

POLYMARKET

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?

19,4 €

Sì: 24%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

236,5 €

Sì: 30%

KALSHI

2026: Trump's bad year?

105,9 €

Sì: 11%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,472.67-2.69%

EthereumETH$1,882.79-4.17%

SolanaSOL$73.31-4.00%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-3.38%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.66%

BNBBNB$565.30-1.64%

Notizie Correlate

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto News

Regole

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
then the market resolves to Yes.

2026: Trump's dream year?

0.3 pt (24h)EconomiaOne-OffUS Politics Politica1a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

No 92%

Qualita del mercato

69 / 100

Qualità media

Volume 24h

50,1 €

Liquidità

156,8K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

4.8% / 7.4%

Spread

2.6 pt

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 minuti fa

17 dic 25, 15:0031 dic 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Yes8%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
then the market resolves to Yes.

Trend del volume

$57

2 lug27g di dati28 lug

Mercati Correlati

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

1,6K €

Sì: 43%

KALSHI

If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?

49 €

0-1%: 4.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

7,6 €

Shutdown & Democratic: 86%

POLYMARKET

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?

19,4 €

Sì: 24%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

236,5 €

Sì: 30%

KALSHI

2026: Trump's bad year?

105,9 €

Sì: 11%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,472.67-2.69%

EthereumETH$1,882.79-4.17%

SolanaSOL$73.31-4.00%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0702-3.38%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.66%

BNBBNB$565.30-1.64%

Notizie Correlate

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto News

Regole

If **ALL** of the following occur:

Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND 2.
Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND 3.
GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND 4.
The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026
then the market resolves to Yes.