PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
0.0%–0.8% 26.7%+2.0ptIn testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
53 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
191,4 €
Liquidità
6,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoComments
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
17 ago 26, 19:3516 nov 26, 0:00
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
- Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Mercati aperti
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 196,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 17K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Volume totale
- 2,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 9,9K €
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 229,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-11.5pt40.2%
- 0.4-0.7%+4.0pt27.8%
- 2.0%++0.3pt11.3%
+4 altri esiti
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
- Polymarket quota 0.0%–0.8% al 27% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
- Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? dovrebbe risolversi il 16 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.