PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
0.8%–1.6% 29.5%+10.5ptIn testa tra 10 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
0.8%–1.6% 29.5%+10.5ptQualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4K €
Liquidità
3,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-7.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
17 ago 26, 19:35 UTC17 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
- Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.