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  • Home
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  • Cruscotto
  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Inflation
  3. State of the economy at the end of 2026
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

3.6% (24h)InflationOne-OffEconomia7m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Stagflation
Stagflation 32%-3.6%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

8,7 €

Liquidità

142,7 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

22.7% / 31.5%

Spread

38.8%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

25 feb 26, 15:0013 gen 27, 13:25

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Stagflation32%

Regole

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

52,6 €
Above 4.0%: 45%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

43 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

6,3 €
Above 4.9%: 42%KalshiKALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

3 €
Overheating: 47%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

25,9K €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

664,9 €
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,162.40+0.64%EthereumETH$1,640.76-0.07%SolanaSOL$64.27-1.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.084-0.99%XRPXRP$1.11-2.29%BNBBNB$592.38-0.09%

Notizie Correlate

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin price stalls near $64K before key U.S. inflation dataCrypto NewsBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Regole

If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.