Probabilità implicita attuale
Soft landing 62%+2.3%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
924,9 €
Liquidità
21K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
57.7% / 65.0%
Spread
12.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
25 feb 26, 15:0013 gen 27, 13:25
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Soft landing62%
Confronta le piattaforme· Soft landing
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto93% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 62% | 0pt | 1,5K € | 9,8K € | 17 minuti fa | Apri → |
 KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 62% | 0pt | 924,9 € | 21K € | 17 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
US economic state at the end of 2026?
3.5%6m
+3.5%62%
+2.0%26%
+1.0%14%
+1 altri esiti
79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale48,5K €
Volume 24h1,5K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.1k3 lug23g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3K €Above 3.4%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
434,8 €Above 2.1%: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
89 €Sì: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Sì: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,8K €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,5 €Sì: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market closes at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the inflation data for Dec 2026.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is Below 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is at least 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the unemployment rate (U-3) is At least 5% and CPI-U (All items) 12-month percent change is below 3.5% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.