Probabilità implicita attuale
Soft Landing 59%+1.0%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,7K €
Liquidità
11,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
54.0% / 63.0%
Spread
16.7%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+15.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
24 apr 26, 21:4931 gen 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Soft Landing59%
Confronta le piattaforme· Soft landing
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto93% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 62% | 0pt | 925,1 € | 21K € | 13 minuti fa | Apri → |
 PolymarketQuesta paginaPiù attiva | Media | 59% | -3pt | 1,7K € | 11,2K € | 13 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
State of the economy at the end of 2026
2.3%5m
+2.3%62%
-5.5%20%
12%
+1 altri esiti
79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale45,3K €
Volume 24h925,1 €
KALSHIRegole
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.9k2 lug24g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
132,7 €Sì: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
0 €Above 2.1%: 92%KALSHI
KALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10,6K €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Sì: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9K €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Sì: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegole
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.