Probabilità implicita attuale
Soft Landing 62%+3.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,5K €
Liquidità
13,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
61.0% / 62.0%
Spread
1.6%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+19.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
24 apr 26, 21:4931 gen 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Soft Landing62%
Confronta le piattaforme· Soft landing
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 62% | 0pt | 1,5K € | 13,3K € | 5 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi93% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 62% | 0pt | 925 € | 21K € | 25 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
State of the economy at the end of 2026
2.3%5m
+2.3%62%
-5.5%20%
12%
+1 altri esiti
52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale45,3K €
Volume 24h925 €
KALSHIRegole
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.7k2 lug24g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3K €Above 3.4%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
438,4 €Above 2.1%: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
132,6 €Sì: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Did US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
19,3 €Sì: 76.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9K €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,5 €Sì: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegole
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.