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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Inflation
  3. US economic state at the end of 2026?
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

1.0% (24h)InflationOne-OffEconomia7m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Overheating
Overheating 47%-3.0%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

3 €

Liquidità

1,1K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 29.0%

Spread

383.3%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

24 apr 26, 21:5431 gen 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Overheating47%

Regole

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.

Polymarket
  • The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
  • This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
  • If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
  • This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
  • This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.

Mercati Correlati

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

52,7 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

42,2 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

8,7 €
Stagflation: 32%KalshiKALSHI
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

25,8K €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

664,9 €
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

419,1 €
5.50-5.99%: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,256.04+0.79%EthereumETH$1,644.49+0.29%SolanaSOL$64.92-0.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0843-0.57%XRPXRP$1.12-1.10%BNBBNB$593.55+0.19%

Notizie Correlate

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin price stalls near $64K before key U.S. inflation dataCrypto NewsBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Regole

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.

Polymarket
  • The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
  • This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
  • If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
  • This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
  • This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.