KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 74%
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
158,2 €
Liquidità
26K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
23.1% / 25.9%
Spread
2.8 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
18 dic 24, 15:00 UTC26 gen 29, 13:25 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many assassination attempts will there be on Trump during his presidency?
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Manifold MarketsUS economic state at the end of 2026?
PolymarketUS economic recession in 2026?
FutuurUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiRegole
If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- **Important information:** An 'economic boom' is defined as any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 having GDP growth of above 5%.
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 554,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,8K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volume totale
- 314,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 11K €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,7K €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 76K €
- Volume 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a Trump economic boom??
- Kalshi quota No al 74% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a Trump economic boom??
- Will there be a Trump economic boom? dovrebbe risolversi il 26 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a Trump economic boom??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.