KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above -100,000 85%In testa tra 5 esiti
Above -100,000 85%Qualità del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
58,7 €
Open interest
58,7 €
Open interest bassoSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
2 ott 26, 00:00 UTC6 nov 26, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Jobs numbers in October 2026?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExHow many jobs added in October?
PolymarketJobs numbers in Nov 2026?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRegole
If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026 is above -100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The underlying is the combined revision to the seasonally adjusted monthly changes in total nonfarm payroll employment for the two months immediately preceding October 2026, relative to their estimates in the immediately preceding Employment Situation release. The two revisions will be added together, with upward revisions positive and downward revisions negative. Resolution will use the combined revision stated in the initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026; if no combined figure is stated, the two individual revisions will be summed. Any benchmark or seasonal-adjustment effects incorporated into those two monthly revisions are included. Separate annual benchmark figures and revisions to other months are excluded. Subsequent revisions will not affect the outcome.
Regole per ogni esito
- Above -100,000
- If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026 is above -100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -50,000
- If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026 is above -50,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0
- If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50,000
- If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026 is above 50,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100,000
- If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026 is above 100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.