KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 11%
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,2K €
Liquidità
711,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 24 minuti fa
14 lug 25, 14:0031 gen 27, 13:25
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes11%
Trend del volume
$3.7k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Recession in 2027?
91,6 €Sì: 40%KALSHI
KALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10,6K €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9K €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8K €Sì: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,6K €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Sì: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Regole
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.