Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.3%
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 24 minuti fa
9 ott 25, 08:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee officially declares that a recession occurred in the U.S. at any point during the calendar year 2026.
- This includes recessions that may begin in 2026 and extend into 2027 or those that began prior to 2026 and continue into 2026.
- The market will resolve to "No" if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee does not officially declare a recession for any period that includes a portion of the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements made by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, accessible on their website: https://www.nber.org/research/business-cycle-dating/business-cycle-dating-committee-announcements.