PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 set 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
2.0-2.5% 28.4%+1.5ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,1K €
Liquidità
3,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-16.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto31 lug 26, 23:4330 ott 26, 6:00
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercati aperti
Economy
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume totale
- 381,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 54,3K €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%98%
- Above 3.9%-3.0pt92%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 360,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 49,3K €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 109,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 309,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 15,5K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No68%
- Yes+2.0pt32%
- Volume totale
- 235,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,2K €
POLYMARKETAugust Unemployment Rate
- 4.1%-0.5pt32.1%
- 4.2%+0.5pt32.1%
- 4.0%+3.5pt16%
+6 altri esiti
- How many jobs added in August?
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Recession this year?
- Recession this year?
- CPI in August
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- GDP growth in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket quota 2.0-2.5% al 28% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.