PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
≥3.0% 30.9%+2.5ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
845,4 €
Liquidità
7,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-3.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
31 lug 26, 21:4229 ott 26, 23:59
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — US GDP growth in Q3 2026 · More than 3.0% 44%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? · Above 0.0% 96%
Mercati aperti
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 196,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 17K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Volume totale
- 2,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 9,9K €
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 229,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
POLYMARKETJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
- 0.0%–0.8%+19.5pt25%
- 0.8%–1.6%+18.5pt21%
- -0.8%–0.0%+2.0pt18.6%
+7 altri esiti
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket quota ≥3.0% al 31% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve US GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato US GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato US GDP growth in Q3 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Kalshi.