PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attuale>2.5% 43%-5.0%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
6,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
4.1% / 8.8%
Spread
114.6%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+1.8%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
12 nov 25, 23:2229 gen 27, 0:00
Trend
Esito scelto
>2.5%43%
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
US real GDP growth in 2026?
0.1%8m
+0.1%26%
5%
3%
+11 altri esiti
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale2,1K €
Volume 24h0,1 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
US recession by end of 2026?
2,7K €Sì: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,6 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Sì: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSJune Unemployment Rate
134,5 €4.4%: 35%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETUS real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Regole
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026.
- Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.