KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k 16%In testa tra 12 esiti
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k 16%Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
17,1K €
Open interest
1,3K USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
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U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99kSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 minuti fa
2 ott 26, 18:30 UTC6 nov 26, 13:29 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US be at full employment in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsMedicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.2% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Labor market) (Employment) (Layoffs)?
ForecastExWill Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.2% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Labor market) (Employment) (Layoffs)?
ForecastExRegole
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Regole per ogni esito
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
