Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mag 25, 20:47 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US be at full employment in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?
Manifold MarketsWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 170,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExRegole
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a federal law or regulation in effect in 2026 that mandates employment or work-related activities as a condition for Medicaid eligibility for able-bodied adults without dependents.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such federal requirement is in effect by that date.
- Medicaid is a joint federal and state program providing health coverage to low-income individuals.
- Historically, eligibility has been based primarily on income, without federal work requirements.
- However, there have been periodic efforts to introduce work requirements:
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 91 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 569,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 359,2K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 16,4K €
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 314,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026??
- Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria: