Previsione della comunità attuale
No 75.2%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto29 giu 26, 04:11 UTC4 dic 26, 13:25 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.
- Use the headline establishment-survey change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted.
- A value of +150,000 or higher resolves YES.
- A value of +149,000 or lower resolves NO.
- Negative values resolve NO.
- Do not use the unemployment rate, household-survey employment, labor-force participation, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, state payrolls, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial November 2026 release before resolution.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 77,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for November 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.