Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 83.2%+4.0pt
Qualità del mercato
86 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
31,2K €
Liquidità
189,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
16 set 26, 18:24 UTC9 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market.
- Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 84%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 1 punto percentuale tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 84% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- Polymarket quota Yes al 83% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 9 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Dove altro è quotato Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless.