PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Below 4.50% 84%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
589,7 €
Liquidità
7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
3 set 26, 01:06 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Futuur10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Below 4.50% è del 84%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 1 punto percentuale tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm Below 4.50% 84% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
