LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
Below 4.50% 36%In testa tra 9 esiti
Below 4.50% 36%Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
7 set 26, 11:09 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Polymarket7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
Kalshi10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold Markets10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Below 4.35% · Below 4.40% · Below 4.00% · Below 4.25% · Below 4.45% · Below 4.20% · Below 4.10% · Below 4.30% · Below 4.50%.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).