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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Bitcoin
  3. How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?
How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

3.0% (24h)BitcoinOne-Off6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Below $55,000.00
Below $55,000.00 68%+3.0%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

71 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

199 €

Liquidità

10,8K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

71.0% / 72.0%

Spread

1.4%

Spread stretto
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

5 feb 26, 20:301 gen 27, 5:00
Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Below $55,000.0068%

Regole

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $60000.00 starting Jan 1, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Cripto correlate

BitcoinBTC$63,510.89-0.10%

Mercati Correlati

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

629,6K €
↓ 70,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bitcoin above ___ on June 13?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 13?

586,7K €
50,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

What price will Bitcoin hit June 8-14?

153,6K €
↓ 62,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bitcoin above ___ on June 14?

Bitcoin above ___ on June 14?

147,5K €
52,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

137,1K €
↓ 85,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What price will Bitcoin hit on June 12?

What price will Bitcoin hit on June 12?

116,1K €
↑ 64,000: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

ChainlinkLINK$7.84-1.10%EthereumETH$1,664.42-0.91%SolanaSOL$66.57-0.56%BNBBNB$603.27-0.11%DogecoinDOGE$0.0868+0.47%XRPXRP$1.13-0.96%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsWintermute warns Bitcoin lacks inflows needed to confirm market bottomCrypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsThe 0.01% Funding Rate: How Bitcoin Perpetuals Are Engineered for Rent ExtractionBlockchain ReporterMichael Saylor rejects dilution fears after $181M MSTR saleCrypto NewsNot All Bitcoin ETF Inflows Are Equal: CryptoQuant Maps the Real Drivers Behind Institutional MoneyBlockchain Reporter

Regole

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $60000.00 starting Jan 1, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
  • The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
  • If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
  • If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
  • The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.