PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Below 5.20% 80%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
5,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
3 set 26, 01:05 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
LimitlessHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Futuur10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 33,3 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt47.8%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt46.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes+3.8pt14%
- Volume totale
- 995,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 39,4K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027??
- Polymarket quota Below 5.20% al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027??
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.