KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Fed maintains rate 70.9%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
84 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
28K €
Liquidità
193,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
29 set 25, 14:0028 ott 26, 17:59
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm No change 72% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 1 pt
Mercati aperti
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt30.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,6 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt28.3%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.6pt88.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.8pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.4pt8.7%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Fed decision in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi quota Fed maintains rate al 71% al 23 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Fed decision in Oct 2026??
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Fed decision in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Fed decision in Oct 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).