KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Fed maintains rate 81.4%+4.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Fed maintains rate 81.4%+4.0ptQualità del mercato
≤89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
147,4K €
Open interest
3,8 Mln €
Open interest altoSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
29 set 25, 14:00 UTC28 ott 26, 17:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 297s (indicativo)
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve
- The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.
Regole per ogni esito
- Fed maintains rate
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike 25bps
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 25bps
- If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike >25bps
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut >25bps
- If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Fed decision in October? · No change 83%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — October 2026 · No change 81%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 84%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in October 2026 · Fed maintains rate 80%
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — Fed decision in October? · Fed maintains rate 79%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Fed Decision in October? ·
