KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Fed maintains rate 71.8%+7.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,9 €
Liquidità
4,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
6 ott 25, 14:00 UTC17 mar 27, 17:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume totale
- 997K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2K €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Fed decision in Mar 2027??
- Kalshi quota Fed maintains rate al 72% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Fed decision in Mar 2027??
- Fed decision in Mar 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Fed decision in Mar 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Fed decision in Mar 2027??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Robinhood (Rothera).