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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Fed
  3. Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

2.0% (24h)FedGeopoliticaOne-OffCrime & Justice6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Tim Walz
Tim Walz 28%-2.0%
In testa tra 25 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

35,9 €

Liquidità

2,8K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

24.0% / 28.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

2 dic 25, 1:001 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Tim Walz28%

Regole

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsGannon Van Dyke faces landmark Polymarket insider trading trialCrypto NewsWashington man gets five years for laundering $97M in fraud proceeds Crypto NewsBitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Regole

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.