Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 90.3%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto9 nov 24, 16:46 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Destiny be charged by the federal or Florida government by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICE agents who shot Alex Pretti be charged in any federal court?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes iff one of those two is charged with a federal crime no later than December 31, 2026.
- An investigation is not enough, the feds must actually file charges in a court of law.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026??
- Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will at least one of Merrick Garland or Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime by 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes iff one of those two is charged with a federal crime no later than December 31, 2026.