KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Abdul El-Sayed 59%-1.0pt
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
15,6K €
Liquidità
1,5 Mln €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
40.0% / 41.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
3 dic 24, 15:003 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Regole
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Michigan Senate Election Winner · Democrat 61%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Michigan's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 66%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Michigan Senate Election Winner · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 61%
Mercati aperti
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- No+8.0pt83.2%
- Yes-8.0pt16.8%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-4.0pt17.1%
- Jon Ossoff17.1%
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+44 altri esiti
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+29 altri esiti
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+1.0pt61.5%
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+8 altri esiti
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+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.9%
- Marco Rubio-1.0pt22.4%
- Ron DeSantis5.1%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Michigan Senate winner??
- Kalshi quota Abdul El-Sayed al 59% al 24 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Michigan Senate winner??
- Michigan Senate winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Michigan Senate winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Michigan Senate winner??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Smarkets, Futuur, Polymarket.