US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

9.0% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS Politics Geopolitica Middle East1m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

August 31 60%+16.5%

In testa tra 5 esiti

Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

122,6K €

Liquidità

118,6K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderato

Variazione 7g

+8.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 17 minuti fa

13 lug 26, 18:0431 ago 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

July 24

July 14

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

August 3160%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

Grandi operazioni

$18.0k89.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashieri

$1.0k13.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfarel’altro ieri

$2.0k69.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman23 gg fa

$3.9k94.4%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235 gg fa

$2.4k93.7%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235 gg fa

$3.6k63.9%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spit11 gg fa

$1.5k91.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal80011 gg fa

Trend del volume

$139.5k

13 lug14g di dati26 lug

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Regole

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

9.0% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS Politics Geopolitica Middle East1m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Probabilità implicita attuale

August 31 60%+16.5%

In testa tra 5 esiti

Qualita del mercato

89 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

122,6K €

Liquidità

118,6K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderato

Variazione 7g

+8.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 17 minuti fa

13 lug 26, 18:0431 ago 26, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

July 24

July 14

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

August 3160%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

Grandi operazioni

$18.0k89.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashieri

$1.0k13.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfarel’altro ieri

$2.0k69.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman23 gg fa

$3.9k94.4%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235 gg fa

$2.4k93.7%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.1235 gg fa

$3.6k63.9%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spit11 gg fa

$1.5k91.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal80011 gg fa

Trend del volume

$139.5k

13 lug14g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by which date?

25,8K €

August 31: 13%

POLYMARKET

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

6,8K €

Yulia Navalnaya: 11%

POLYMARKET

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

123,3 €

Sì: 7%

POLYMARKET

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

43,9 €

Sì: 49.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will USA change Iran regime

0 €

Sì: 7.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

988,1 €

Sì: 8.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,504.22+0.56%

EthereumETH$1,886.44+1.39%

SolanaSOL$75.13+1.20%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.51%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.75%

BNBBNB$571.35+0.95%

Notizie Correlate

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White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News

Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News

Regole

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.