US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]
25.2 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticaMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOctober 31 24.8%-25.2ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-25.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
9 set 26, 12:42 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
LimitlessUS announces Cuba oil sanction relief by which date?
PolymarketUS announces military base in Israel in 2026?
PolymarketWill Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket: US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket rules: On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume totale
- 25,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 812,4K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 564K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+1.0pt46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.5%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-1.4pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.3pt2%
- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 734,4K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.3pt45.1%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets quota October 31 al 25% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket] dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket: US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- Dove altro è quotato US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? [Polymarket]?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless, Polymarket.