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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Blue wave in 2026?
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione7m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 68%-2.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

37,6 €

Liquidità

1,2K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

70.0% / 73.0%

Spread

4.3%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

12 dic 25, 15:001 feb 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes68%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

5m
Sì
Sì
75%
No
No
25%
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale43,1K €
Volume 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Mercati Correlati

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

722,2K €
Robert F. Kennedy: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

18,2K €
Democrats Sweep: 44%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

3,1K €
At least 27%: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

2,2K €
Nithya Raman: 34%KalshiKALSHI
When will FISA be reauthorized again?

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

1,7K €
Before Jun 12, 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,732.73+0.71%EthereumETH$1,646.92-0.17%SolanaSOL$65.73+0.69%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+0.33%XRPXRP$1.12-1.05%BNBBNB$599.00+0.62%

Notizie Correlate

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Regole

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.