KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 74%
Qualita del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1K €
Liquidità
151,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
12 dic 25, 15:001 feb 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes74%
Confronta le piattaforme· Yes
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 74% | 0pt | 1K € | 151,2K € | 15 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 75% | +1pt | 0 € | 11,4K € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Blue wave in 2026?
4m
75%
25%
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale46,5K €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.1k2 lug26g di dati27 lug
Mercati Correlati
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472K €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
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181,5K €Jay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
132,4K €Haley Stevens: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.