Crime & Justice

Trump out as President before 2027?

93%

Sì

Riferimento CoinRithm8%· ±1 pt

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale10,3 Mln USD

Volume 24h15,8K USD

POLYMARKET

What will Trump say in July?

Discombobulator / Discombobulate / Discombobulated

99%

Fat shot / Ozempic

99%

Palestine / Palestinian

99%

+30 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmGenius99%· ±1 pt

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale1,3 Mln USD

Volume 24h13,6K USD

KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

0.9%5m

Raúl Castro

99%

John Brennan

+1.0%43%

Letitia James

34%

+38 altri esiti

100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale1,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h7,4K USD

KALSHI

Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?

2.0%1m

December 31

-3.5%62%

October 31

-1.0%55%

August 31

-2.0%35%

+2 altri esiti

100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1,3 Mln USD

Volume 24h11,7K USD

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested in 2026?

0.3%5m

John Brennan

36%

Mahmoud Khalil

+5.0%26%

James Clapper

23%

+21 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmJohn Brennan28%· ±8 pt

91 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale1 Mln USD

Volume 24h1,6K USD

KALSHI

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

83%

Sì

17%

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità

Volume totale525,4K USD

Volume 24h3,5K USD

KALSHI

Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?

3.0%5m

December 31

-3.0%19%

July 31

+1.4%3%

89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquidità

Volume totale111,8K USD

Volume 24h18,9K USD

POLYMARKET

Will Netanyahu be arrested?

1.0%5m

Before Jan 1, 2027

-1.0%8%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

+1.0%3%

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità

Volume totale100,4K USD

Volume 24h15,8K USD

KALSHI

Maduro Prison Time?

3.0%1a

No prison time

-9.0%34%

60+

+0.5%30%

40–60

-0.1%12%

+2 altri esiti

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale651,7K USD

Volume 24h1,6K USD

POLYMARKET

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

98%

Sì

80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale2,5 Mln USD

Volume 24h266,3 USD

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

0.3%

John Brennan

-0.5%28%

Mahmoud Khalil

-6.0%26%

James Clapper

20%

+21 altri esiti

Riferimento CoinRithmJohn Brennan28%· ±8 pt

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale223,2K USD

Volume 24h448,7 USD

POLYMARKET

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

12.0%5m

Before Jan 1, 2027

+12.0%22%

Before Sep 1, 2026

+2.0%7%

61 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità media

Volume totale38,5K USD

Volume 24h6,2K USD

KALSHI

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

0.5%5m

+0.0%52%

Sì

48%

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale256,1K USD

Volume 24h2,9K USD

POLYMARKET

Kim Kardashian: Pass the Bar Exam before 2027?

2.0%5m

93%

Sì

+2.0%7%

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale71,6K USD

Volume 24h1,8K USD

KALSHI

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

2.5%2a

Sì

+0.0%67%

-0.0%33%

Riferimento CoinRithm62%· ±5 pt

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale72,2K USD

Volume 24h470,3 USD

POLYMARKET

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?

92%

Sì

64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale56,5K USD

Volume 24h495,9 USD

POLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

4.0%5m

Sì

+0.0%74%

-0.0%27%

79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale691,7K USD

Volume 24h964,2 USD

POLYMARKET

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

1.5%5m

+0.0%95%

Sì

-0.0%6%

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale737,6K USD

Volume 24h347,3 USD

POLYMARKET

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

1.0%5m

+0.0%93%

Sì

-0.0%8%

52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale52,1K USD

Volume 24h392,7 USD

POLYMARKET

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

0.1%5m

89%

Sì

11%

72 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquidità

Volume totale143,1K USD

Volume 24h100 USD

POLYMARKET

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?

95%

Sì

Previsione della comunità96 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

76%

Sì

25%

68 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media

Volume totale23,7K USD

Volume 24h1,8K USD

POLYMARKET

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

92.9%

Sì

7.1%

Previsione della comunità101 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

79.1%

Sì

20.9%

Previsione della comunità63 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

52.1%

Sì

47.9%

Previsione della comunità3478 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will Trump serve time?

Never

+0.1%90.4%

2030s

4.4%

2029

-0.1%4%

+7 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità2591 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Obama arrested before 2027?

0.3%5m

97%

Sì

56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale19,4K USD

Volume 24h158,1 USD

POLYMARKET

AUTOMATION: Less than 100 police officers are employed by the New York Police Department by the end of 2026

99%

Sì

Previsione della comunità20 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?

Other

69.6%

2027

21.8%

2026

6.9%

+2 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità23 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

33a

84.3%

Sì

15.7%

Previsione della comunità421 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

97%

Sì

Previsione della comunità23 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

"Conditional AI pause" commitment triggers antitrust enforcement by EOY 2028?

OpenAI

-40.0%10%

Anthropic

-40.0%10%

Google DeepMind

-40.0%10%

Previsione della comunità2 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Destiny sue anyone?

54.5%

Sì

45.5%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

81.3%

Sì

18.7%

Previsione della comunità4 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

2.4%5m

93%

Sì

-2.4%7%

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione

Volume totale65,1K USD

Volume 24h149,3 USD

KALSHI

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

1.7%1a

56%

Sì

+1.7%44%

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale59K USD

Volume 24h132,9 USD

KALSHI

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

3.0%5m

Bill Clinton

59%

Prince Andrew

51%

Donald Trump

+3.0%48%

+15 altri esiti

44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità

Volume totale50,1K USD

Volume 24h100,5 USD

KALSHI

Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?

Sì

98.9%

1.1%

Previsione della comunità35 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?

97.2%

Sì

2.8%

Previsione della comunità27 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Andrew Tate spend more than 1 year in prison before 2027?

99%

Sì

Previsione della comunità44 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Jonathan Ross (shooter of Renee Nicole Good) be in custody by the end of the year?

90.6%

Sì

9.4%

Previsione della comunità38 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027?

93.6%

Sì

6.4%

Previsione della comunità48 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Diddy still be alive in 2030?

Sì

74.3%

25.7%

Previsione della comunità25 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027?

Sì

94.3%

5.7%

Previsione della comunità27 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026?

94.8%

Sì

5.2%

Previsione della comunità16 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?

Samuel Alito

+0.5%65%

Clarence Thomas

-0.3%22.8%

Sonia Sotomayor

-1.0%4.4%

+6 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità49 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened?

89.6%

Sì

10.4%

Previsione della comunità21 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?

91.6%

Sì

8.4%

Previsione della comunità48 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Asset Cripto Correlati

Trump out as President before 2027?

What will Trump say in July?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?

Who will be arrested in 2026?

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?

Will Netanyahu be arrested?

Maduro Prison Time?

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Kim Kardashian: Pass the Bar Exam before 2027?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

Will Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?

[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?

Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?

When will Trump serve time?

Obama arrested before 2027?

AUTOMATION: Less than 100 police officers are employed by the New York Police Department by the end of 2026

Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Will SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?

"Conditional AI pause" commitment triggers antitrust enforcement by EOY 2028?

Will Destiny sue anyone?

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?

Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?

Will Andrew Tate spend more than 1 year in prison before 2027?

Will Jonathan Ross (shooter of Renee Nicole Good) be in custody by the end of the year?

Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027?

Will Diddy still be alive in 2030?

Will Ghislaine Maxwell still be alive on January 1, 2027?

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton spend any time in prison in 2026?

Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?

Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened?

Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?