KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 8%-2.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
36 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
37,1K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
20 lug 26, 19:00 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Netanyahu arrested by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Fox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- For purposes of this Contract, "arrested" means: Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant Being formally booked or processed following detention
- The following scenarios would satisfy the Payout Criterion: Benjamin Netanyahu is handcuffed and taken to a police station Benjamin Netanyahu surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested in any country and this is reported by a Source Agency Benjamin Netanyahu is detained at an airport or border crossing and formally arrested
- The following scenarios would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An arrest warrant being issued but not executed Benjamin Netanyahu being briefly detained but not arrested Benjamin Netanyahu being questioned or interviewed without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring without physical custody Benjamin Netanyahu being named in an indictment without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being arrested after Oct 1, 2026 Protective custody that is not an arrest
- The following scenarios would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An arrest warrant being issued but not executed Benjamin Netanyahu being briefly detained but not arrested Benjamin Netanyahu being questioned or interviewed without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring without physical custody Benjamin Netanyahu being named in an indictment without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being arrested after Nov 1, 2026 Protective custody that is not an arrest
Mercati aperti
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+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
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+17 altri esiti
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
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- No-0.2pt96%
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- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Netanyahu be arrested??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 8% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Netanyahu be arrested??
- Will Netanyahu be arrested? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Netanyahu be arrested??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.